Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-20 0.000135 0.000149 0.000165 0.000183 0.000203 0.000224 0.000250
2025-07-27 0.000107 0.000128 0.000152 0.000182 0.000218 0.000261 0.000317
2025-08-03 0.000092 0.000116 0.000145 0.000184 0.000235 0.000300 0.000388
2025-08-10 0.000080 0.000105 0.000137 0.000182 0.000244 0.000326 0.000447
2025-08-17 0.000070 0.000096 0.000130 0.000180 0.000252 0.000352 0.000506
2025-08-24 0.000063 0.000088 0.000123 0.000177 0.000256 0.000373 0.000560
2025-08-31 0.000056 0.000080 0.000116 0.000171 0.000257 0.000386 0.000603
2025-09-07 0.000051 0.000076 0.000113 0.000171 0.000265 0.000413 0.000670
2025-09-14 0.000048 0.000073 0.000111 0.000174 0.000278 0.000447 0.000752
2025-09-21 0.000044 0.000069 0.000106 0.000171 0.000280 0.000463 0.000807
2025-09-28 0.000040 0.000063 0.000100 0.000164 0.000276 0.000470 0.000843
2025-10-05 0.000038 0.000061 0.000098 0.000165 0.000285 0.000499 0.000925
2025-10-12 0.000036 0.000059 0.000098 0.000168 0.000298 0.000537 0.001033
2025-10-19 0.000033 0.000056 0.000095 0.000167 0.000304 0.000564 0.001123
2025-10-26 0.000032 0.000054 0.000094 0.000169 0.000317 0.000607 0.001251
2025-11-02 0.000030 0.000052 0.000090 0.000167 0.000320 0.000630 0.001342
2025-11-09 0.000028 0.000049 0.000088 0.000165 0.000325 0.000657 0.001445
2025-11-16 0.000026 0.000046 0.000084 0.000162 0.000327 0.000676 0.001532
2025-11-23 0.000024 0.000043 0.000080 0.000157 0.000323 0.000683 0.001594
2025-11-30 0.000023 0.000042 0.000079 0.000157 0.000330 0.000718 0.001727
2025-12-07 0.000022 0.000041 0.000078 0.000160 0.000343 0.000765 0.001899
2025-12-14 0.000020 0.000039 0.000076 0.000157 0.000343 0.000783 0.001998
2025-12-21 0.000019 0.000037 0.000072 0.000151 0.000337 0.000783 0.002048